The art and science of forecasting the Real Price of oil

نویسنده

  • Christiane Baumeister
چکیده

ƒ In addition to accurate forecasts of the price of oil, policy-makers are interested in evaluating the risks associated with the baseline forecast to gauge the implications of alternative oil price paths for the economic outlook. A structural model of the global oil market can be used to develop risk scenarios for oil price forecasts, based on hypothetical assumptions about future demand and supply conditions in the crude oil market.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014